Dry bulk freight rates surprised to the upside in 3Q25, with stronger tonne-mile demand for iron ore and South American grains helping stabilise second-hand values. However, much of this strength appears transitory, driven by US-China trade tensions rather than fundamental demand. China’s prolonged deflation, weak consumption, and rising steel inventories continue to cast a shadow over the outlook. Meanwhile, a sizeable 2026-27 orderbook equal to 8.3% of existing fleet capacity suggests supply growth may exceed demand in the near term. While FFAs now justify current 5-year-old asset prices, sustained freight improvements remain uncertain as macroeconomic and geopolitical risks persist.

Click here to download a full copy of the latest dry bulk report.

The Baltic Exchange publishes a set of investor indices for the major dry bulk and tanker sectors, which includes the Baltic Residual Risk Index, a ratio of the residual value of the vessel against its recycling value, and the Baltic Residual Value Index, which calculates the value by taking the written down cost of a five year old vessel by fixing the earnings on the basis of a five year timecharter and adding back the operating costs.

The Baltic Exchange Investor Indices (BII) are an easy to use online analytical dashboard displaying data relevant to vessel investment decisions, residual value, health of earnings, spot and five-year timecharter earnings, purchase & recycling values, and running costs.

They offer a high level of clarity and transparency for investors in all bulker and tanker vessel types. Gas carrier assets will also be added to the service at a later date.

Subscribers to the Baltic Exchange Investor Indices are offered a health of earnings index, which compares spot income with daily running costs; a residual value index that provides an implied write-down value of the vessel over five years; and an implied residual risk assessment that gives the recycling steel value of the vessel as a ratio of its residual value.

You can take a week's free trial and access all of the Baltic Exchange’s daily freight market information including all published wet, dry, gas, container and airfreight indices, fixture lists, market reports, forward curves and asset values via our website and mobile App.

The Baltic Exchange has produced an official White Paper to discuss the inner workings of its Investor Indices. The White Paper looks in detail at the various indicators provided by the Baltic Exchange for dry bulk and tanker shipping investors, how they are constructed and how they be used to help support entry and exit decisions in these sectors. Click here to read the White Paper in full.